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Stadium Background

Waalwijk vs Almere City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waalwijk host Almere City in the Eerste Divisie. This one's hard to separate. Waalwijk have averaged 1.81 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Almere City's 2.13 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Waalwijk have won 3 to Almere City's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.88, favoring Almere City. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Waalwijk
20%
Draws
51%
Almere City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than Waalwijk.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 10%
Almere City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waalwijk Almere City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 13 2
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.81 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Waalwijk
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Almere City
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Eredivisie
Almere City vs Waalwijk
1:4
Nov 3, 2024 Eredivisie
Waalwijk vs Almere City
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Almere City vs Waalwijk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waalwijk 34 / 100
Almere City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waalwijk Almere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waalwijk scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Almere City conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Waalwijk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waalwijk VS Almere City
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Waalwijk

(Home)
18 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Volendam
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Waalwijk
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Emmen
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0
Waalwijk
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1
Maastricht
Page 1 of 7

Almere City

(Away)
17 Oct
FC Emmen
2 : 1
Almere City
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0
Eindhoven FC
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 11 9 1 1 36:13 28
2 Almere City 11 7 1 3 23:9 22
3 Venlo 11 7 1 3 30:18 22
4 FC Emmen 11 7 1 3 24:19 22
5 NAC Breda 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Vitesse 11 5 2 4 16:15 17
7 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
8 FC Volendam 11 5 1 5 23:18 16
9 Maastricht 11 5 1 5 14:25 16
10 Waalwijk 11 3 6 2 20:16 15
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 11 4 2 5 26:22 14
12 Den Bosch 11 4 2 5 16:19 14
13 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
14 TOP Oss 11 4 0 7 16:17 12
15 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
16 Eindhoven FC 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 11 2 3 6 16:21 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)