Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Waalwijk vs Den Bosch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waalwijk host Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Waalwijk at 1.61 goals for, 1.36 against; Den Bosch at 1.76 for, 1.66 against. Past meetings favor Den Bosch slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.50, favoring Den Bosch. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Waalwijk
30%
Draws
51%
Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Den Bosch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Den Bosch come out ahead of Waalwijk on wins alone.
  • Den Bosch are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 16%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waalwijk Den Bosch
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch
2:3
Oct 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Waalwijk
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Den Bosch vs Waalwijk
0:0
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch
2:3
Feb 1, 2019 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waalwijk 10 / 100
Den Bosch 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waalwijk Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Den Bosch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waalwijk found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Den Bosch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Waalwijk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waalwijk VS Den Bosch
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waalwijk

(Home)
30 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 2
Almere City
27 Oct
Barendrecht
2 : 3
Waalwijk
23 Oct
De Graafschap
1 : 1
Waalwijk
18 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Volendam
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Waalwijk
Page 1 of 6

Den Bosch

(Away)
01 Nov
FC Emmen
0 : 5
Den Bosch
27 Oct
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 5
Den Bosch
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2
Maastricht
16 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 1
TOP Oss
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 13 10 2 1 39:14 32
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
5 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
6 NAC Breda 13 7 3 3 25:20 24
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Jong PSV 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 13 4 1 8 19:22 13
16 Jong Ajax 13 3 4 6 19:30 13
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
19 Dordrecht 13 3 2 8 18:34 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)