Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Mandemakers Stadion

FC Emmen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Waalwijk play FC Emmen in the Eerste Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Waalwijk averaged 2.12 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. FC Emmen averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Waalwijk won 2, FC Emmen won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Waalwijk and 1.50 for FC Emmen. This points to a Waalwijk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Waalwijk

32%

Draws

28%

FC Emmen

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Waalwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Waalwijk picked up more points recently compared to FC Emmen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Waalwijk Clean Sheet 16%

FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Waalwijk	FC Emmen
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	15	9
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	2.12	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Eerste Divisie

Waalwijk vs FC Emmen

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

5:0

Nov 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie

FC Emmen vs Waalwijk

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Jan 28, 2023 Eredivisie

Waalwijk vs FC Emmen

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Aug 13, 2022 Eredivisie

FC Emmen vs Waalwijk

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Apr 4, 2021 Eredivisie

FC Emmen vs Waalwijk

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waalwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Leij T.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kuster H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

FC Emmen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waalwijk 39 / 100

FC Emmen 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Waalwijk FC Emmen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Waalwijk or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Waalwijk attacking → ← attacking FC Emmen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waalwijk scored in 97% of their last 33 games.

FC Emmen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Waalwijk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Emmen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 35

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	44
16	TOP Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	44
17	Jong AZ Alkmaar	38	12	4	22	61:76	40
18	Helmond Sport	38	10	9	19	42:62	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	35