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Stadium Background

Waalwijk vs FC Volendam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waalwijk host FC Volendam in the Eerste Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Waalwijk have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against FC Volendam's 1.63 scored and 1.69 conceded. Head-to-head, Waalwijk have won 2 to FC Volendam's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.94) point toward Waalwijk. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Waalwijk
15%
Draws
48%
FC Volendam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Waalwijk have won more games recently than FC Volendam.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 10%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waalwijk FC Volendam
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 13 12
Draws 14 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Waalwijk vs FC Volendam
2:2
Apr 7, 2024 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Waalwijk
3:2
Oct 21, 2023 Eredivisie
Waalwijk vs FC Volendam
2:1
May 5, 2023 Eredivisie
Waalwijk vs FC Volendam
4:1
Jan 14, 2023 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Waalwijk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waalwijk 29 / 100
FC Volendam 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waalwijk FC Volendam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waalwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waalwijk's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

FC Volendam has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Waalwijk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Waalwijk VS FC Volendam
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Waalwijk

(Home)
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Waalwijk
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Emmen
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0
Waalwijk
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1
Maastricht
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2
Waalwijk
Page 1 of 7

FC Volendam

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)