Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Varela K.
19'
19'
Varela K.
Assist: van de Haar J.
28'
28'
Sidibe S.
Assist: Kluit F.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between Waalwijk and Jong PSV finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong PSV
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Waalwijk haven't matched Jong PSV's recent run of results.
- Jong PSV are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 13%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waalwijk | Jong PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV
2:2
Apr 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV
4:1
Dec 1, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Waalwijk
3:1
Mar 29, 2019 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Waalwijk
2:1
Nov 9, 2018 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV
3:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waalwijk Compare
Top Goalscorer Varela K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Jong PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Sidibe S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waalwijk 14 / 100
Jong PSV 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waalwijk Jong PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong PSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Waalwijk scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Jong PSV let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Waalwijk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Waalwijk VS Jong PSV
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Waalwijk
(Home) 30 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 2 Almere City
27 Oct
Barendrecht
2 : 3 Waalwijk
23 Oct
De Graafschap
1 : 1 Waalwijk
18 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FC Volendam
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0 Waalwijk
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 2 Almere City
18 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FC Volendam
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FC Emmen
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1 Maastricht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 4
Jong PSV
(Away) 02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2 NAC Breda
27 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 7 Jong PSV
23 Oct
Eindhoven FC
1 : 2 Jong PSV
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1 Dordrecht
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 7 Jong PSV
23 Oct
Eindhoven FC
1 : 2 Jong PSV
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1 Jong PSV
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1 Jong PSV
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:14 | 32 |
| 2 | Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:21 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 19 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:30 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23:28 | 12 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
