Sport Picks
Waalwijk vs Maastricht Prediction & H2H Stats
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk 
Match Events
13'
13'
de Wijs J.
Assist: Nap J.
29'
29'
Al Mazyani F.
Assist: Varela K.
40'
40'
Familia-Castillo J.
AI Match Summary
Waalwijk in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waalwijk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waalwijk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Waalwijk have won more games recently than Maastricht.
- Model gives Waalwijk a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Waalwijk have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 18%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waalwijk | Maastricht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Maastricht
6:1
Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Waalwijk
1:3
Nov 25, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Maastricht
1:0
Mar 15, 2019 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Waalwijk
1:4
Dec 7, 2018 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Maastricht
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waalwijk Compare
Top Goalscorer de Wijs J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Al Mazyani F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Maastricht Compare
Top Goalscorer Dumont O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waalwijk 85 / 100
Maastricht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waalwijk Maastricht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waalwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waalwijk found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Maastricht has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Waalwijk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Waalwijk VS Maastricht
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Waalwijk
(Home) 26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0 Waalwijk
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1 Maastricht
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2 NAC Breda
28 Aug
Waalwijk
2 : 2 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1 Maastricht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2 NAC Breda
28 Aug
Waalwijk
2 : 2 Jong PSV
14 Aug
Waalwijk
2 : 2 Dordrecht
02 Aug
Waalwijk
3 : 0 Kifisia
Page 1 of 4
Maastricht
(Away) 26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1 Maastricht
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1 Roda
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 Maastricht
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1 Maastricht
28 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 Maastricht
25 Aug
Genk U23
6 : 0 Maastricht
14 Aug
Eindhoven FC
2 : 3 Maastricht
28 Jul
Gent U23
1 : 0 Maastricht
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 13 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 13 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:23 | 7 |
| 18 | De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 20 | TOP Oss | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
