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Wacker Nordhausen vs Bautzen Prediction & H2H Stats

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Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 Albert-Kuntz-Sportpark, Nordhausen
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Schneider E.
90' Event
Salin M.
90'
Rulicke M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 game between Wacker Nordhausen and Bautzen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wacker Nordhausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Wacker Nordhausen
30%
Draws
47%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bautzen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wacker Nordhausen Clean Sheet 17%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wacker Nordhausen Bautzen
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wacker Nordhausen vs Bautzen
2:0
Oct 15, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Wacker Nordhausen
2:0
Jun 18, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Wacker Nordhausen
2:2
Feb 6, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wacker Nordhausen vs Bautzen
1:4
Apr 28, 2019 Regionalliga Nordost
Wacker Nordhausen vs Bautzen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wacker Nordhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schneider E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bautzen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wacker Nordhausen 36 / 100
Bautzen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wacker Nordhausen Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bautzen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bautzen conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Wacker Nordhausen scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Wacker Nordhausen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bautzen
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wacker Nordhausen

(Home)
08 Feb
Blau-Weiss Zorbau
3 : 1
Wacker Nordhausen
01 Feb
Wacker Nordhausen
3 : 0
SVG Gottingen
25 Jan
Plauen
3 : 0
Wacker Nordhausen
10 Jun
Grimma
1 : 0
Wacker Nordhausen
25 May
Wacker Nordhausen
1 : 3
An der Fahner Hohe
Page 1 of 6

Bautzen

(Away)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eilenburg 34 22 5 7 65:33 71
2 Krieschow 34 20 5 9 81:53 65
3 Bischofswerdaer 34 17 8 9 69:36 59
4 Plauen 34 16 9 9 82:47 57
5 Bautzen 34 16 6 12 66:55 54
6 Auerbach 34 12 14 8 55:42 50
7 Freital 34 14 8 12 49:42 50
8 Sandersdorf 34 13 10 11 37:43 49
9 Einheit Wernigerode 34 13 9 12 66:66 48
10 Einheit Rudolstadt 34 12 11 11 50:53 47
11 Halle 34 12 8 14 45:49 44
12 Ludwigsfelder 34 11 10 13 35:38 43
13 Grimma 34 10 12 12 41:46 42
14 An der Fahner Hohe 34 12 5 17 50:67 41
15 Wacker Nordhausen 34 10 6 18 42:65 36
16 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 34 7 10 17 58:77 31
17 SV 1890 Westerhausen 34 6 10 18 44:84 28
18 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 34 4 12 18 27:66 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2022/2023 (Main)