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WaiBOP United vs Wellington Phoenix 2

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Morris S.
36' Event
Hoyle S.
44' Event
Hoyle S.

AI Match Summary

WaiBOP United in this Football Championship 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored WaiBOP United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
WaiBOP United
33%
Draws
27%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: WaiBOP United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Wellington Phoenix 2 at 1.88 per game, WaiBOP United at 0.
  • Model gives WaiBOP United a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and WaiBOP United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WaiBOP United Wellington Phoenix 2
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2016 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
4:2
Jan 9, 2016 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs WaiBOP United
3:4
Feb 28, 2015 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:3
Dec 13, 2014 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs WaiBOP United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

WaiBOP United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoyle S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morris S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogerson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whyte O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WaiBOP United 39 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WaiBOP United Wellington Phoenix 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Phoenix 2 let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

WaiBOP United found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Wellington Phoenix 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wellington Phoenix 2
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City14122043:1238
2Hawke s Bay1493229:1630
3Team Wellington1483336:2127
4Canterbury1482428:2326
5WaiBOP United1460829:2718
6Waitakere United1441923:3613
7Wellington Phoenix 214211124:467
8Southern United14101311:423