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Waitakere City vs Onehunga

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-0, with Waitakere City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Waitakere City
15%
Draws
42%
Onehunga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waitakere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waitakere City come out ahead of Onehunga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Waitakere City a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Waitakere City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Waitakere City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Waitakere City Clean Sheet 12%
Onehunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waitakere City Onehunga
Matches Played 35 14
Wins 12 10
Draws 2 0
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 2.09 2.21
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2013 Chatham Cup
Waitakere City vs Onehunga
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waitakere City 38 / 100
Onehunga 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waitakere City Onehunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waitakere City found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Waitakere City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Onehunga let in goals in 57% of their last 14 matches.

Scoring Trends

Waitakere City VS Onehunga
3.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Waitakere City

(Home)
06 Jul
Waitakere City
1 : 3
Melville
11 Sept
Birkenhead
3 : 2
Waitakere City
28 Aug
Waitakere City
6 : 1
Three Kings
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Waitemata FC
Page 1 of 7

Onehunga

(Away)
25 Aug
Napier City
2 : 1
Onehunga
03 Aug
Onehunga
5 : 4
Wellington Olympic
06 Jul
Onehunga
2 : 0
North Shore
04 Aug
Onehunga
1 : 4
Western Suburbs
14 Jul
Melville
1 : 3
Onehunga
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Palmerston North Marist 2
Napier City 1
Cashmere Technical 7
Waimakariri United 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Lower Hutt City 2
Roslyn Wakari 1
Caversham 4
Manurewa 0
Melville 1
Birkenhead 3
Hamilton 1
Waitakere City 3
Bay Olympic 1
Onehunga 4
Ngaruawahia AFC 0
Quarter-finals
Palmerston North Marist 0
Cashmere Technical 1
Wellington Olympic 3
Caversham 2
Melville 3
Birkenhead 2
Waitakere City 7
Onehunga 0
Semi-finals
Cashmere Technical 4
Wellington Olympic 0
Melville 1
Waitakere City 4
Final
Cashmere Technical 3
Waitakere City 1