Sport Picks
Waitakere United vs Hamilton
New Zealand
Football Championship Fred Taylor Park, Auckland 
Match Events
64'
64'
Tieku D.
86'
86'
Greive A.
AI Match Summary
The Football Championship game between Waitakere United and Hamilton finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waitakere United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hamilton come out ahead of Waitakere United on wins alone.
- Model gives Waitakere United a 45% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 10%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waitakere United | Hamilton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.35 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2021 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Waitakere United
3:2
Dec 12, 2020 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Hamilton
1:1
Feb 29, 2020 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Hamilton
3:0
Feb 22, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Waitakere United
3:2
Dec 16, 2018 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Hamilton
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waitakere United Compare
Top Goalscorer Greive A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18
Hamilton Compare
Top Goalscorer Tieku D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waitakere United 83 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waitakere United Hamilton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Waitakere United scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Hamilton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Waitakere United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Waitakere United VS Hamilton
2.57 Goals Scored 2
1.71 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Waitakere United
(Home) 27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2 Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0 Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2 Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4 Waitakere United
Page 1 of 6
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0 Hawke s Bay
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
23 Jan
Waitakere United
3 : 3 Canterbury
10 Jan
Waitakere United
0 : 3 Auckland City
12 Dec
Waitakere United
1 : 1 Hamilton
Page 1 of 3
Hamilton
(Away) 29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3 Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2 Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0 Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4 Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1 Hamilton
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0 Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4 Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1 Hamilton
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1 Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2 Hamilton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 35:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:23 | 19 |
| 5 | Waitakere United | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 6 | Canterbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 7 | Hawke s Bay | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:37 | 10 |
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)
