Sport Picks
Waitakere United vs Team Wellington
New Zealand
Football Championship Fred Taylor Park, Auckland 
Match Events
40'
40'
Moreira J.
49'
49'
Searle P.
60'
60'
Watson H.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Football Championship game between Waitakere United and Team Wellington finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Team Wellington carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Team Wellington taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 10%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waitakere United | Team Wellington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2021 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Waitakere United
3:4
Nov 28, 2020 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Team Wellington
2:2
Mar 22, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Waitakere United
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Team Wellington
1:1
Jan 13, 2019 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Waitakere United
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waitakere United Compare
Top Goalscorer Searle P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Redfearn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Team Wellington Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreira J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waitakere United 18 / 100
Team Wellington 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waitakere United Team Wellington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waitakere United found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Team Wellington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Waitakere United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Waitakere United VS Team Wellington
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Waitakere United
(Home) 27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2 Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0 Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2 Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4 Waitakere United
Page 1 of 6
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0 Hawke s Bay
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
23 Jan
Waitakere United
3 : 3 Canterbury
10 Jan
Waitakere United
0 : 3 Auckland City
12 Dec
Waitakere United
1 : 1 Hamilton
Page 1 of 3
Team Wellington
(Away) 21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4 Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1 Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2 Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2 Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4 Team Wellington
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2 Team Wellington
07 Feb
Auckland City
3 : 1 Team Wellington
17 Jan
Hawke s Bay
2 : 2 Team Wellington
10 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1 Team Wellington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 35:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:23 | 19 |
| 5 | Waitakere United | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 6 | Canterbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 7 | Hawke s Bay | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:37 | 10 |
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)
