Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wales U16 vs Northern Ireland U16

World World

Friendly International 2024
Tue, Oct 8, 2024
4 - 3
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tohill E.
21' Event
Kerr J.
27' Event
Hawkins M.

AI Match Summary

Wales U16 host Northern Ireland U16 in the Friendly International 2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Wales U16 have averaged 1.5 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Northern Ireland U16's 1 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Wales U16 have won 2 to Northern Ireland U16's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2024, ending 4:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 2.00) point toward Northern Ireland U16. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Wales U16
28%
Draws
50%
Northern Ireland U16
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Northern Ireland U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Northern Ireland U16 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Wales U16.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Northern Ireland U16.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Wales U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Ireland U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U16 Northern Ireland U16
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 3 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2024 Friendly International
Wales U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
4:3
Nov 6, 2023 Friendly International
Wales U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
1:1
Nov 20, 2014 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Wales U16
0:2
Nov 23, 2012 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Wales U16
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawkins M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Papirnyk L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Northern Ireland U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerr J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tohill E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U16 22 / 100
Northern Ireland U16 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U16 Northern Ireland U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales U16 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Northern Ireland U16 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Wales U16 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland U16 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales U16 VS Northern Ireland U16
1.5 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%