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Wales U16 W vs Paraguay U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Tue, Apr 16, 2024
0 - 1
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wales U16 W play Paraguay U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. Paraguay U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Wales U16 W averaged 0.94 goals scored and 3.63 conceded. Paraguay U16 W averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Wales U16 W won 0, Paraguay U16 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 16, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.50 for Wales U16 W and 3.44 for Paraguay U16 W. This points to a Paraguay U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Wales U16 W
15%
Draws
76%
Paraguay U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wales U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Paraguay U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.50 vs 3.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Wales U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
Paraguay U16 W Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U16 W Paraguay U16 W
Matches Played 16 4
Wins 2 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 0.94 2.5
Goals Conceded 3.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2024 Friendly International Women
Wales U16 W vs Paraguay U16 W
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U16 W 10 / 100
Paraguay U16 W 73 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U16 W Paraguay U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay U16 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Paraguay U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +800%
100.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wales U16 W attacking → ← attacking Paraguay U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales U16 W scored in 63% of their last 16 games.

Paraguay U16 W let in goals in 50% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Wales U16 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Paraguay U16 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 9
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
4.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50