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Wales U19 W vs USA U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wales U19 W play USA U19 W in the Friendly International Women. USA U19 W are favorites here. Recently, Wales U19 W averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. USA U19 W averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Wales U19 W won 0, USA U19 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 2, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Wales U19 W and 1.94 for USA U19 W. This points to a USA U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Wales U19 W
15%
Draws
56%
USA U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Wales U19 W picked up more points recently compared to USA U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Wales U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
USA U19 W Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U19 W USA U19 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Friendly International Women
Wales U19 W vs USA U19 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

USA U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Puerta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bello E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U19 W 28 / 100
USA U19 W 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U19 W USA U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U19 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick USA U19 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wales U19 W attacking → ← attacking USA U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales U19 W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

USA U19 W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Wales U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

USA U19 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 52
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63