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Wales U21 vs Scotland U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Thomas J.
40' Event
Low J.
46'
Sub
McKinnon C. In: Summers B.
Out: McKinnon C.

AI Match Summary

Wales U21 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wales U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Wales U21
20%
Draws
46%
Scotland U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scotland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wales U21 lately — more wins on the board than Scotland U21.
  • Scotland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U21 Scotland U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Friendly International
Wales U21 vs Scotland U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Low J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Scotland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U21 10 / 100
Scotland U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U21 Scotland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales U21 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Scotland U21 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Wales U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wales U21 VS Scotland U21
1 Goals Scored 2.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0
Wales U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
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Scotland U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
15 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
14 Oct
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 3
Scotland U21
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