Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Wales

2 - 4

Belgium

Our Tip

Match Events

Rodon J.

Assist: Thomas S.

13'

Wilson H.

18'

De Bruyne K.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belgium in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%

Wales

20%

Draws

69%

Belgium

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Belgium lately — more wins on the board than Wales.
Win probability leans Belgium's way, sitting at 70%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Wales Clean Sheet 11%

Belgium Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wales	Belgium
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	9	14
Draws	9	7
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.43	2.52
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	0.59	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 World Championship

Wales vs Belgium

2:4

Jun 9, 2025 World Championship

Belgium vs Wales

4:3

Sep 22, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Belgium vs Wales

2:1

Jun 11, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Wales vs Belgium

1:1

Nov 16, 2021 World Championship

Wales vs Belgium

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodon J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Broadhead N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.29

Belgium Compare

Top Goalscorer Meunier T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Trossard L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales 14 / 100

Belgium 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wales Belgium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Wales scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Belgium conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Wales stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales VS Belgium

0.43 Goals Scored 2.63

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

57% Over 1.5 88%

14% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales

(Home)

27 Sept

Denmark

2 : 0

Wales

24 Sept

Portugal

1 : 0

Wales

06 Jun

Romania

2 : 1

Wales

02 Jun

Wales

1 : 1

Ghana

31 Mar

Wales

1 : 1

Northern Ireland

Page 1 of 6

Belgium

(Away)

25 Sept

Italy

0 : 2

Belgium

10 Jul

Spain

2 : 1

Belgium

07 Jul

USA

1 : 4

Belgium

01 Jul

Belgium

3 : 2

Senegal

27 Jun

New Zealand

1 : 5

Belgium

Page 1 of 6