Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wales vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

World World

World Championship 2026 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Thu, Mar 26, 2026
1 - 2
07:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Memic A.
37'
Demirovic E.
39'
Kolasinac S.

AI Match Summary

Bosnia & Herzegovina in this World Championship 2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wales
6%
Draws
4%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wales lately — more wins on the board than Bosnia & Herzegovina.
  • Win probability leans Wales's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Wales have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bosnia & Herzegovina, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Wales Clean Sheet 68%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales Bosnia & Herzegovina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 World Championship
Wales vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1:2
Oct 10, 2015 Euro
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Wales
2:0
Oct 10, 2014 Euro
Wales vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
0:0
Aug 15, 2012 Friendly International
Wales vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
0:2
Feb 12, 2003 Friendly International
Wales vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales Compare

Top Goalscorer James D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bosnia & Herzegovina Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzeko E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales 95 / 100
Bosnia & Herzegovina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales Bosnia & Herzegovina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosnia & Herzegovina let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Wales found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Wales has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wales VS Bosnia & Herzegovina
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales

(Home)
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1
Ghana
31 Mar
Wales
1 : 1
Northern Ireland
26 Mar
Wales
1 : 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina
18 Nov
Wales
7 : 1
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

Bosnia & Herzegovina

(Away)
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Switzerland
4 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wales1
Bosnia & Herzegovina2
Italy2
Northern Ireland0
Ukraine1
Sweden3
Poland2
Albania1
Slovakia3
Kosovo4
Turkey1
Romania0
Czech Republic3
Ireland2
Denmark4
North Macedonia0
Final
Bosnia & Herzegovina2
Italy1
Sweden3
Poland2
Kosovo0
Turkey1
Czech Republic3
Denmark2