Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Hojbjerg P. In: Skov Olsen A.
Out: Hojbjerg P.
29'
29'
Cullen L.
56'
56'
Sub
Koumas L. In: Harris M.
Out: Koumas L.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League game between Wales and Denmark finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denmark.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denmark
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Denmark carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Denmark a 64% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Denmark have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Wales Clean Sheet 11%
Denmark Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wales | Denmark |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Denmark
0:1
Sep 27, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Wales
2:0
Jun 26, 2021 Euro
Wales vs Denmark
0:4
Nov 16, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Denmark
1:2
Sep 9, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Wales
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wales 27 / 100
Denmark 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wales Denmark
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Denmark Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wales's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Denmark conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.
Wales has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wales VS Denmark
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Wales
(Home) 04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1 Denmark
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1 Norway
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0 Wales
24 Sept
Portugal
1 : 0 Wales
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1 Wales
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1 Denmark
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1 Norway
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1 Ghana
31 Mar
Wales
1 : 1 Northern Ireland
26 Mar
Wales
1 : 2 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 4
Denmark
(Away) 04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1 Denmark
01 Oct
Denmark
2 : 4 Portugal
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0 Wales
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2 Denmark
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1 Ukraine
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1 Denmark
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2 Denmark
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0 Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2 Denmark
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2 Denmark
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
