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Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Bad Leonfelden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Regionalliga North
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wallern/St Marienkirchen host Bad Leonfelden in the Regionalliga North. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Wallern/St Marienkirchen have averaged 2 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Bad Leonfelden's 2.24 scored and 2.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Wallern/St Marienkirchen slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.75 vs 1.63, favoring Wallern/St Marienkirchen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
15%
Draws
26%
Bad Leonfelden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wallern/St Marienkirchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Wallern/St Marienkirchen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Wallern/St Marienkirchen a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen Clean Sheet 14%
Bad Leonfelden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wallern/St Marienkirchen Bad Leonfelden
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Bad Leonfelden
2:1
Jan 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Bad Leonfelden
7:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wallern/St Marienkirchen 84 / 100
Bad Leonfelden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wallern/St Marienkirchen Bad Leonfelden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wallern/St Marienkirchen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wallern/St Marienkirchen scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Bad Leonfelden has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Wallern/St Marienkirchen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wallern/St Marienkirchen VS Bad Leonfelden
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Wallern/St Marienkirchen

(Home)
03 Oct
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
3 : 1
UFC Hallein
18 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
2 : 0
Union Gurten
12 Sept
Ried (Am)
0 : 5
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
08 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 2
Wals-Grunau
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
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Bad Leonfelden

(Away)
03 Oct
Kuchl
3 : 2
Bad Leonfelden
26 Sept
Bad Leonfelden
0 : 4
LASK Linz (Am)
19 Sept
Grodig
1 : 1
Bad Leonfelden
11 Sept
Bad Leonfelden
1 : 4
Vorwarts Steyr
04 Sept
Bad Leonfelden
3 : 2
Dietach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wals-Grunau 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
2 Wallern/St Marienkirchen 10 7 1 2 29:10 22
3 LASK Linz (Am) 10 6 2 2 29:10 20
4 Union Gurten 11 5 3 3 18:11 18
5 Schallerbach 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
6 Kuchl 10 5 2 3 21:17 17
7 Grodig 10 5 1 4 17:13 16
8 Vorwarts Steyr 10 4 2 4 13:12 14
9 Johann 10 4 2 4 11:15 14
10 Seekirchen 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 Ried (Am) 11 3 2 6 12:26 11
12 Bad Leonfelden 10 2 4 4 17:23 10
13 Dietach 10 2 2 6 11:29 8
14 UFC Hallein 10 1 3 6 10:24 6
15 Pinzgau Saalfelden 10 1 2 7 12:24 5
Promotion - Regionalliga Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)