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Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Union Gurten

Austria Austria

Regionalliga Central
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wallern/St Marienkirchen play Union Gurten in the Regionalliga Central. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wallern/St Marienkirchen averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Union Gurten averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Wallern/St Marienkirchen won 0, Union Gurten won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 29, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Wallern/St Marienkirchen and 1.63 for Union Gurten. This points to a Union Gurten double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
15%
Draws
52%
Union Gurten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Gurten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Wallern/St Marienkirchen picked up more points recently compared to Union Gurten.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen Clean Sheet 14%
Union Gurten Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wallern/St Marienkirchen Union Gurten
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 20
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Regionalliga Central
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Union Gurten
0:3
Oct 31, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
2:0
Mar 7, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1:0
Aug 9, 2024 Regionalliga Central
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Union Gurten
1:2
May 3, 2024 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wallern/St Marienkirchen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Union Gurten Compare

Top Goalscorer Hofbauer T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schott T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wallern/St Marienkirchen 33 / 100
Union Gurten 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wallern/St Marienkirchen Union Gurten

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Union Gurten or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wallern/St Marienkirchen attacking → ← attacking Union Gurten

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wallern/St Marienkirchen scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Union Gurten let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Wallern/St Marienkirchen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Union Gurten lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 62
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ASK Voitsberg302622113:2180
2Union Gurten30204659:2864
3LASK Linz (Am)30156966:4451
4Deutschlandsberger Wonisch30149760:5251
5SC Kalsdorf301541159:5349
6Atus Velden301371050:4746
7Lafnitz301261255:6042
8Wallern/St Marienkirchen301241444:5140
9SC Weiz301091161:6639
10Wolfsberger AC (Am)30971445:4634
11Dietach30951633:5732
12Gleisdorf30791443:7230
13Ried (Am)30741941:7225
14Treibach30732035:7124
15Weindorf St. Anna30252322:7611
16ASKO Oedt301510562:3255