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Wally Daan vs Mbour

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Wally Daan Logo

Wally Daan

1 - 0
FT
Mbour Logo

Mbour

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wally Daan in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wally Daan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Wally Daan
35%
Draws
30%
Mbour
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Wally Daan have won more games recently than Mbour.
  • Win probability leans Wally Daan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Wally Daan Clean Sheet 68%
Mbour Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wally Daan Mbour
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 6
Draws 14 19
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 0.97 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Wally Daan
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Wally Daan vs Mbour
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wally Daan 50 / 100
Mbour 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wally Daan Mbour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wally Daan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wally Daan's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Wally Daan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mbour's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wally Daan VS Mbour
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wally Daan

(Home)
04 Jun
Linguere
1 : 1
Wally Daan
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
Wally Daan
0 : 1
Teungueth
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
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Mbour

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)