Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Walsall vs Cheltenham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Bescot Stadium, Walsall
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Ashfield H.
56' Event
Ashfield H.
Assist: Thomas J.
57'
Comley B.

AI Match Summary

Cheltenham in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cheltenham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Walsall
15%
Draws
39%
Cheltenham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Walsall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Walsall haven't matched Cheltenham's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Walsall a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Walsall Clean Sheet 68%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walsall Cheltenham
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Walsall vs Cheltenham
0:4
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Walsall
1:0
Feb 25, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Walsall
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 League Two
Walsall vs Cheltenham
2:1
Sep 20, 2022 EFL Trophy
Cheltenham vs Walsall
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walsall Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cheltenham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashfield H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hutchinson I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walsall 59 / 100
Cheltenham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walsall Cheltenham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walsall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Walsall stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Cheltenham registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Walsall VS Cheltenham
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Walsall

(Home)
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3
Walsall
06 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 1
Walsall
01 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0
Notts County
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0
Walsall
21 Jul
Walsall
0 : 5
Aston Villa
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Cheltenham

(Away)
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Rotherham
08 Aug
Cheltenham
1 : 3
Charlton
01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2
Milton Keynes Dons
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3
Cheltenham
02 May
Cheltenham
1 : 4
Colchester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley 46 24 15 7 71:46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons 46 24 14 8 86:45 86
3 Cambridge Utd 46 22 16 8 66:33 82
4 Salford 46 25 6 15 61:51 81
5 Notts County 46 24 8 14 74:52 80
6 Chesterfield 46 21 16 9 71:56 79
7 Grimsby 46 22 12 12 74:50 78
8 Barnet 46 21 13 12 70:53 76
9 Swindon 46 22 9 15 70:59 75
10 Oldham 46 18 14 14 60:44 68
11 Crewe 46 19 10 17 64:58 67
12 Colchester 46 18 12 16 62:49 66
13 Walsall 46 18 11 17 56:56 65
14 Bristol Rovers 46 19 5 22 56:65 62
15 Fleetwood Town 46 15 16 15 57:58 61
16 Accrington 46 14 11 21 47:58 53
17 Gillingham 46 13 14 19 53:72 53
18 Cheltenham 46 14 10 22 53:79 52
19 Shrewsbury 46 13 10 23 42:69 49
20 Newport 46 12 7 27 48:77 43
21 Tranmere 46 10 11 25 54:79 41
22 Crawley Town 46 8 16 22 44:68 40
23 Harrogate 46 10 9 27 39:68 39
24 Barrow 46 9 9 28 45:78 36
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)