Sport Picks

Walsall vs Stevenage - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Bescot Stadium, Walsall

Walsall

1 - 6

Stevenage

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Mellon M.

Assist: Casey K.

17'

Simper L.

Assist: Adomah A.

19'

Sub

Dixon R. In: Harris A.

Out: Dixon R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. The second leg ended 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Walsall

15%

Draws

53%

Stevenage

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Stevenage come out ahead of Walsall on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Stevenage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Stevenage, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Walsall Clean Sheet 10%

Stevenage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Walsall	Stevenage
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	13
Draws	10	7
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.21	1.34
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Walsall vs Stevenage

1:6

Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy

Stevenage vs Walsall

1:2

Mar 11, 2023 League Two

Stevenage vs Walsall

3:1

Aug 13, 2022 League Two

Walsall vs Stevenage

1:1

Jan 8, 2022 League Two

Stevenage vs Walsall

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walsall Compare

Top Goalscorer Simper L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Stevenage Compare

Top Goalscorer Mellon M.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Marcal W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.76

Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walsall 30 / 100

Stevenage 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Walsall Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Walsall scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Stevenage let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Walsall stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Walsall VS Stevenage

1.88 Goals Scored 1.88

2 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Walsall

(Home)

10 Nov

Leicester

2 : 1

Walsall

07 Nov

Newport

3 : 1

Walsall

31 Oct

Colchester

1 : 3

Walsall

26 Oct

Walsall

2 : 4

Salford

20 Oct

Walsall

3 : 0

Oldham

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Stevenage

(Away)

10 Nov

Stevenage

3 : 2

Fulham U21

07 Nov

Oxford Utd

0 : 1

Stevenage

31 Oct

Leicester

2 : 2

Stevenage

24 Oct

Stevenage

0 : 1

Milton Keynes Dons

20 Oct

Stevenage

3 : 0

Plymouth

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