Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy Bescot Stadium, Walsall

Walsall

1 - 6

Stevenage

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Mellon M.

Assist: Casey K.

17'

Simper L.

Assist: Adomah A.

19'

Sub

Dixon R. In: Harris A.

Out: Dixon R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. The second leg ended 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Walsall

35%

Draws

41%

Stevenage

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Stevenage come out ahead of Walsall on wins alone.
Model gives Stevenage a 41% chance of winning this.
Stevenage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Stevenage, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Walsall Clean Sheet 20%

Stevenage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Walsall	Stevenage
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	14
Draws	9	7
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	0.97	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Walsall vs Stevenage

1:6

Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy

Stevenage vs Walsall

1:2

Mar 11, 2023 League Two

Stevenage vs Walsall

3:1

Aug 13, 2022 League Two

Walsall vs Stevenage

1:1

Jan 8, 2022 League Two

Stevenage vs Walsall

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walsall Compare

Top Goalscorer Simper L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Stevenage Compare

Top Goalscorer Mellon M.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Marcal W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walsall 10 / 100

Stevenage 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Walsall Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Stevenage let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Walsall went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Walsall's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Walsall VS Stevenage

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

50% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Walsall

(Home)

22 Sept

Walsall

1 : 6

Stevenage

19 Sept

Walsall

2 : 0

Port Vale

12 Sept

Walsall

0 : 0

Rochdale

05 Sept

Exeter

0 : 0

Walsall

01 Sept

Crewe

2 : 2

Walsall

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Stevenage

(Away)

22 Sept

Walsall

1 : 6

Stevenage

19 Sept

Leyton Orient

1 : 0

Stevenage

10 Sept

Stevenage

2 : 1

Luton

05 Sept

Barnsley

1 : 5

Stevenage

01 Sept

Peterborough

0 : 0

Stevenage

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