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Walter Ferreti vs Esteli

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Barrera J.
38' Event
Morinigo N.
59' Event
Verges J.

AI Match Summary

Esteli in this Liga Primera 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esteli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Walter Ferreti
6%
Draws
90%
Esteli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Walter Ferreti haven't matched Esteli's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Esteli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 16%
Esteli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walter Ferreti Esteli
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
2:4
Feb 15, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Esteli
0:4
Nov 28, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Esteli
0:1
Aug 25, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walter Ferreti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Esteli Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrera J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morinigo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walter Ferreti 10 / 100
Esteli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walter Ferreti Esteli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Walter Ferreti's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Esteli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Walter Ferreti remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Walter Ferreti VS Esteli
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Walter Ferreti

(Home)
18 Jul
Jalapa
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
29 Apr
Jalapa
3 : 0
Walter Ferreti
25 Apr
Jalapa
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
18 Apr
Matagalpa
4 : 0
Walter Ferreti
16 Apr
Esteli
2 : 4
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 6

Esteli

(Away)
18 Jul
Esteli
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
11 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Xilotepelt
04 Jul
Xilotepelt
0 : 1
Esteli
17 May
Diriangen
1 : 2
Esteli
10 May
Esteli
1 : 1
Diriangen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)