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Walter Ferreti vs Jalapa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nicoya E.
25' Event
Betancur Bustamante J. A.
77' Event
Diaz T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Primera matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Walter Ferreti
35%
Draws
32%
Jalapa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Walter Ferreti haven't matched Jalapa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Walter Ferreti's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 20%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walter Ferreti Jalapa
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.16 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Jalapa
2:2
Jul 18, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti
3:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Walter Ferreti
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Jalapa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walter Ferreti Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicoya E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Betancur Bustamante J. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Jalapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luna P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walter Ferreti 40 / 100
Jalapa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walter Ferreti Jalapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walter Ferreti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jalapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Jalapa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Walter Ferreti's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Walter Ferreti VS Jalapa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Walter Ferreti

(Home)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
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Jalapa

(Away)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)