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Walter Ferreti vs Rancho Santana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Walter Ferreti host Rancho Santana in the Liga Primera. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Walter Ferreti have averaged 1.22 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Rancho Santana's 1 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Walter Ferreti slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Walter Ferreti. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Walter Ferreti
35%
Draws
46%
Rancho Santana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rancho Santana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Walter Ferreti come out ahead of Rancho Santana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Walter Ferreti a 19% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 18%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walter Ferreti Rancho Santana
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.22 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Rancho Santana
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti
1:1
Aug 11, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Rancho Santana
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walter Ferreti 40 / 100
Rancho Santana 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walter Ferreti Rancho Santana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walter Ferreti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Rancho Santana conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Walter Ferreti found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Walter Ferreti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Walter Ferreti VS Rancho Santana
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Walter Ferreti

(Home)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
Page 1 of 7

Rancho Santana

(Away)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)