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Walter Ferreti vs Real Madriz

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Walter Ferreti and Real Madriz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Walter Ferreti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Walter Ferreti
20%
Draws
40%
Real Madriz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Walter Ferreti come out ahead of Real Madriz on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Walter Ferreti taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 20%
Real Madriz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walter Ferreti Real Madriz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Walter Ferreti
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Real Madriz
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Real Madriz
3:2
Jul 24, 2025 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Walter Ferreti
2:0
Mar 14, 2022 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Walter Ferreti
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walter Ferreti 76 / 100
Real Madriz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walter Ferreti Real Madriz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walter Ferreti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madriz let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Walter Ferreti scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Real Madriz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Walter Ferreti VS Real Madriz
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Walter Ferreti

(Home)
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
15 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 3
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 6

Real Madriz

(Away)
25 Apr
Real Madriz
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
19 Apr
Diriangen
4 : 0
Real Madriz
16 Apr
Jalapa
2 : 0
Real Madriz
12 Apr
Real Madriz
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
09 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 2
Real Madriz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 12 3 3 40:19 39
2 Esteli 18 11 4 3 41:19 37
3 Jalapa 18 9 6 3 29:16 33
4 Managua FC 18 8 5 5 22:18 29
5 Matagalpa 18 5 7 6 30:24 22
6 Walter Ferreti 18 5 6 7 18:28 21
7 Sport Sebaco 18 6 2 10 23:24 20
8 UNAN-Managua 18 4 4 10 21:34 16
9 Rancho Santana 18 4 4 10 20:43 16
10 Real Madriz 18 4 3 11 14:33 15
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)