Sport Picks

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Waltham Abbey vs Croydon Athletic

England England

FA Trophy
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Waltham Abbey have averaged 2.29 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Croydon Athletic's 1.1 scored and 2 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.75, favoring Waltham Abbey. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Waltham Abbey
15%
Draws
40%
Croydon Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waltham Abbey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waltham Abbey come out ahead of Croydon Athletic on wins alone.
  • Model gives Waltham Abbey a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Waltham Abbey have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Waltham Abbey Clean Sheet 12%
Croydon Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waltham Abbey Croydon Athletic
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 2.29 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waltham Abbey 83 / 100
Croydon Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waltham Abbey Croydon Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waltham Abbey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waltham Abbey found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Croydon Athletic let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Waltham Abbey stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Croydon Athletic registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waltham Abbey VS Croydon Athletic
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Waltham Abbey

(Home)
22 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
3 : 0
Waltham Abbey
19 Sept
Waltham Abbey
1 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
12 Sept
Fakenham
0 : 2
Waltham Abbey
05 Sept
Brantham
0 : 7
Waltham Abbey
29 Aug
Waltham Abbey
2 : 0
Bowers & Pitsea
Page 1 of 6

Croydon Athletic

(Away)
12 Sept
Croydon Athletic
3 : 0
Raynes Park Vale
05 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 0
Croydon Athletic
29 Aug
Croydon Athletic
3 : 2
Sevenoaks
01 Aug
Croydon Athletic
1 : 0
Burgess Hill
04 Jul
Folkestone
5 : 2
Croydon Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 0
Wythenshawe FC 1
Blyth Spartans 2
1874 Northwich 0
Ashington 3
West Auckland Town 1
FC Guisborough Town 3
Ossett United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 0
Grimsby Borough 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 4
Mossley AFC 3
Stocksbridge 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Padiham 0
Pontefract Collieries 7
Prescot Cables 4
Vauxhall 1
Garforth 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 3
Consett 2
Liversedge 0
Bootle 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 2
Bradford PA 1
Lower Breck 4
North Ferriby FC 0
Alvechurch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newcastle Town 0
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Coleshill Town 0
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 2
St Ives Town 1
Basford Utd. 0
Bedworth United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 1
Barwell 0
Chasetown 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Lichfield City 0
Matlock 5
Lincoln Utd. 1
Nuneaton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry United 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Corby 0
Stafford 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 4
Rugby Borough 2
Carlton Town 2
Shepshed 3
Grantham Town 1
Mickleover 3
Worcester Raiders 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston Town 1
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 2
Belper Town 1
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ware 2
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 3
Lowestoft 1
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 4
Kingstonian 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Southall FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portchester 1
Whitstable Town 3
Westfield 1
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Leverstock Green 2
London Lions 0
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 6
Sittingbourne 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 2
Wroxham 1
Waltham Abbey 2
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Croydon Athletic 3
Sevenoaks 2
Littlehampton 2
Raynes Park Vale 3
Haringey Borough 2
Newmarket 3
Stotfold 0
Gorleston 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 3
Margate 0
Crowborough 2
Ashford United 4
Binfield 2
Deal Town 4
Beaconsfield Town 1
Sheppey United 2
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flackwell Heath 0
Faversham 3
Punjab United 0
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Royston Town 1
Tilbury 0
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Winslow United 4
Milton Keynes Irish 3
Concord Rangers 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Marlow 0
Hayes & Yeading 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Merstham 1
Erith Town 2
Cray Valley 1
Eastbourne Town 1
Bedfont Sports 0
Potters 2
Barton 1
Little Oakley 2
Biggleswade FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 4
Grays 1
Cambridge City 2
Redbridge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Hendon 1
Bognor Regis 3
South Park 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Slimbridge 1
Willand Rovers 2
Falmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Steyning Town 1
Moneyfields 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
Didcot 2
Winchester City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartpury University 4
Exmouth Town 1
Weymouth 5
Melksham 1
Portland United 3
Hungerford 1
Westbury United 0
Thame United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chichester City -
Bideford 1
Tiverton 2
Larkhall 2
Dorchester 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Semi-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
Wythenshawe FC 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Ashington 1
FC Guisborough Town 2
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 2
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 1
Bootle 5
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Stalybridge 3
Lower Breck 2
Alvechurch -
TBD -
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Bedworth United 3
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 4
Chasetown 3
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Matlock 5
Nuneaton 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Stafford 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 3
Shepshed 0
Mickleover 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 3
Aveley -
TBD -
Ware 2
Sudbury 0
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 0
Southall FC 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 0
Egham Town 1
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 0
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Croydon Athletic 3
Raynes Park Vale 0
Newmarket 5
Gorleston 2
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 1
Ashford United 3
Deal Town 3
Sheppey United 0
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
Faversham 6
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
Winslow United 5
Concord Rangers 0
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Hayes & Yeading 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 1
Erith Town 2
Eastbourne Town 0
Potters 2
Biggleswade FC 5
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 3
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Willand Rovers 3
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Moneyfields 3
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 0
Didcot 4
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hartpury University 2
Weymouth 3
Portland United 0
Thame United 2
TBD -
Chichester City -
Tiverton 3
Larkhall 0
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Final
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
Blyth Spartans -
FC Guisborough Town -
Redcar Athletic -
Dunston -
Avro -
Bury FC -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
Stockton -
Hallam -
Prescot Cables -
Bridlington Town -
Whitby -
Bootle -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
Stalybridge -
Alvechurch -
Bourne -
Rushall -
Stourbridge -
Bedworth United -
Redditch -
Stamford -
Loughborough Students -
Worcester -
Leek Town -
Matlock -
Kettering -
Evesham -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
Stafford -
Alfreton -
Shifnal Town -
Mickleover -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
Wellingborough -
Aveley -
Ware -
Cheshunt -
Cray Wanderers -
Southall FC -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
Egham Town -
Eastbourne Borough -
Welwyn Garden -
Takeley -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
Enfield Town -
Waltham Abbey -
Croydon Athletic -
Newmarket -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ashford United -
Deal Town -
Stanway Rovers -
Faversham -
Welling -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
Hashtag -
Uxbridge -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
Winslow United -
Hanworth Villa -
Stortford -
Hayes & Yeading -
Erith Town -
Biggleswade FC -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island -
Needham Market -
Hastings -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
Willand Rovers -
Plymouth Parkway -
Bath City -
Moneyfields -
Wimborne -
Didcot -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
Weymouth -
Thame United -
Chichester City -
Tiverton -
Gosport Borough -