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Walthamstow FC vs Leighton Town

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Walthamstow FC play Leighton Town in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Walthamstow FC averaged 1 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. Leighton Town averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, Walthamstow FC won 1, Leighton Town won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2025 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Walthamstow FC and 1.50 for Leighton Town. This points to a Walthamstow FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Walthamstow FC
15%
Draws
35%
Leighton Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Walthamstow FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Walthamstow FC picked up more points recently compared to Leighton Town.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Walthamstow FC Clean Sheet 16%
Leighton Town Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walthamstow FC Leighton Town
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 FA Trophy
Walthamstow FC vs Leighton Town
5:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walthamstow FC 48 / 100
Leighton Town 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walthamstow FC Leighton Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Walthamstow FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Walthamstow FC attacking → ← attacking Leighton Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Walthamstow FC scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Leighton Town let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Walthamstow FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Leighton Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 29
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88