Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Walton Casuals vs Chesham Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Southern League South Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Jno-Baptiste F.

AI Match Summary

Chesham in this Southern League South Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Walton Casuals
20%
Draws
51%
Chesham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chesham have won more games recently than Walton Casuals.
  • Chesham are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League South Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Walton Casuals Clean Sheet 13%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walton Casuals Chesham
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.29 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Walton Casuals vs Chesham
0:1
Nov 16, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Walton Casuals
2:1
Apr 5, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Walton Casuals vs Chesham
0:0
Dec 26, 2020 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Walton Casuals
0:0
Apr 13, 2020 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Walton Casuals
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walton Casuals Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Chesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Jno-Baptiste F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walton Casuals 27 / 100
Chesham 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walton Casuals Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chesham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Walton Casuals scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Walton Casuals has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chesham
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Walton Casuals

(Home)
23 Apr
Walton Casuals
1 : 1
Dorchester
18 Apr
Harrow Borough
0 : 0
Walton Casuals
16 Apr
Walton Casuals
3 : 2
Tiverton
09 Apr
Truro
2 : 0
Walton Casuals
05 Apr
Walton Casuals
0 : 3
Yate
Page 1 of 6

Chesham

(Away)
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3
Real Bedford
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4
Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2
Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2
Billericay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taunton Town 42 28 7 7 83:42 91
2 Hayes & Yeading 42 26 8 8 100:39 86
3 Farnborough 42 26 7 9 73:44 85
4 Metropolitan Police 42 24 9 9 72:46 81
5 Weston-super-Mare 42 23 9 10 72:41 78
6 Chesham 42 22 11 9 80:50 77
7 Yate 42 21 9 12 66:48 72
8 Truro 42 20 10 12 62:54 70
9 Gosport Borough 42 19 9 14 65:56 66
10 Poole Town 42 19 7 16 74:69 64
11 Walton Casuals 42 16 10 16 53:61 58
12 Swindon Supermarine 42 16 9 17 63:63 57
13 Tiverton 42 15 8 19 61:63 53
14 Harrow Borough 42 15 7 20 62:77 52
15 Salisbury 42 13 9 20 49:75 48
16 Hendon 42 14 5 23 58:70 47
17 Beaconsfield Town 42 13 7 22 70:92 46
18 Hartley Wintney 42 13 5 24 56:75 44
19 Dorchester 42 12 5 25 41:58 41
20 Kings Langley 42 9 10 23 49:68 37
21 Merthyr Town 42 6 8 28 47:94 26
22 Wimborne 42 4 7 31 35:106 19
Promotion - Southern League South Division 2021/2022 (Play Offs)