Sport Picks

Wanderers vs CA Cerro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Wanderers

1 - 1

CA Cerro

Our Tip

Match Events

Severo A.

79'

Lopez A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Wanderers

20%

Draws

64%

CA Cerro

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Cerro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than CA Cerro.
Model gives CA Cerro a 64% chance of winning this.
Wanderers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor CA Cerro, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Wanderers Clean Sheet 16%

CA Cerro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wanderers	CA Cerro
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	9
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	1.28	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

CA Cerro vs Wanderers

0:2

Sep 1, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Wanderers vs CA Cerro

1:1

Mar 28, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Wanderers vs CA Cerro

3:0

Sep 26, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Wanderers vs CA Cerro

0:1

Jun 1, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

CA Cerro vs Wanderers

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

CA Cerro Compare

Top Goalscorer Severo A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wanderers 28 / 100

CA Cerro 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wanderers CA Cerro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Cerro Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wanderers's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

CA Cerro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

CA Cerro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wanderers VS CA Cerro

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wanderers

(Home)

05 Nov

Lito

4 : 0

Wanderers

31 Oct

Penarol

1 : 1

Wanderers

25 Oct

Wanderers

0 : 1

Progreso

17 Oct

Racing Montevideo

3 : 0

Wanderers

10 Oct

Wanderers

1 : 3

Boston River

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CA Cerro

(Away)

31 Oct

CA Cerro

1 : 2

Central Esp.

25 Oct

Montevideo City

3 : 1

CA Cerro

16 Oct

CA Cerro

1 : 1

Cerro Largo

10 Oct

Defensor Sp.

2 : 3

CA Cerro

04 Oct

CA Cerro

0 : 2

Wanderers

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