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Wanderers vs Cerrito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Batista L.
45' Event
Ormeno S.
50' Event
Batista L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Wanderers
30%
Draws
58%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerrito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Cerrito taking it.
  • Wanderers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cerrito, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 14%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wanderers Cerrito
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Cerrito vs Wanderers
2:3
Sep 23, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Wanderers vs Cerrito
1:3
Oct 14, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Cerrito
2:1
May 22, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs Wanderers
0:2
Oct 24, 2021 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs Wanderers
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ormeno S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Isasmendi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wanderers 15 / 100
Cerrito 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wanderers Cerrito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wanderers found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Cerrito let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Wanderers has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wanderers VS Cerrito
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wanderers

(Home)
05 Nov
Lito
4 : 0
Wanderers
31 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1
Wanderers
25 Oct
Wanderers
0 : 1
Progreso
17 Oct
Racing Montevideo
3 : 0
Wanderers
10 Oct
Wanderers
1 : 3
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

Cerrito

(Away)
31 Oct
Fenix
1 : 1
Cerrito
25 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 2
Rentistas
17 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Cerrito
10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1
Tacuarembo
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)