Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Wanderers have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Cerrito's 1.14 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Wanderers have won 4 to Cerrito's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2022, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.63) point toward Wanderers. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Wanderers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Wanderers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Wanderers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wanderers | Cerrito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wanderers scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Cerrito let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Wanderers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Wanderers
(Home)Cerrito
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Danubio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Atenas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rentistas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp. | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Cerrito | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 3 | Juventud | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Albion | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | River Plate Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston River | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fenix | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Colon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
