Sport Picks
Wanderers vs Club Nacional
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo 
Match Events
44'
44'
Garcia A.
56'
56'
Sub
Martinez R. In: Correa T.
Out: Martinez R.
62'
62'
Silvera M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Club Nacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Club Nacional lately — more wins on the board than Wanderers.
- Club Nacional are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 16%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wanderers | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Club Nacional
1:1
Jul 17, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Wanderers
1:2
Mar 13, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Wanderers
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Club Nacional
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Wanderers
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Benitez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Club Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Silvera M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wanderers 19 / 100
Club Nacional 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wanderers Club Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Club Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wanderers scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Club Nacional conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Wanderers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wanderers VS Club Nacional
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wanderers
(Home) 23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3 Cerrito
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Wanderers
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1 Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3 Cerrito
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0 Central Esp.
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 3
Club Nacional
(Away) 20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1 Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
03 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
2 : 3 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1 Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
03 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
2 : 3 Club Nacional
30 Aug
Penarol
0 : 1 Club Nacional
15 Aug
Racing Montevideo
2 : 0 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Progreso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Boston River | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 14 | Central Esp. | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
