Sport Picks
Wanderers vs Liverpool M.
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo 
Match Events
39'
39'
Zeballos J.
45'
45'
Zeballos J.
(Penalty)
66'
66'
Sub
Zabala D. In: Degregorio R. M.
Out: Zabala D.
AI Match Summary
Wanderers in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wanderers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Liverpool M.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Liverpool M. have won more games recently than Wanderers.
- Liverpool M. are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wanderers | Liverpool M. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Liverpool M.
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Wanderers
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Wanderers
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Liverpool M.
1:1
Oct 15, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Wanderers
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wanderers 10 / 100
Liverpool M. 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wanderers Liverpool M.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Liverpool M. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wanderers found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Liverpool M. has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.
Wanderers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wanderers VS Liverpool M.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wanderers
(Home) 23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3 Cerrito
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Wanderers
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1 Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3 Cerrito
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0 Central Esp.
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 3
Liverpool M.
(Away) 23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0 Colon
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1 Boston River
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
27 Aug
Fenix
0 : 2 Liverpool M.
16 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 4 Liverpool M.
02 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 0 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
