Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Tabo C.
45'
45'
Freitas A.
45'
45'
Zeballos J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maldonado
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Maldonado have won more games recently than Wanderers.
- Win probability leans Maldonado's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wanderers | Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Maldonado vs Wanderers
4:1
Sep 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Wanderers
2:0
May 24, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Wanderers
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wanderers Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Maldonado Compare
Top Goalscorer Tabo C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wanderers 10 / 100
Maldonado 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wanderers Maldonado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maldonado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wanderers scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Maldonado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Wanderers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wanderers VS Maldonado
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wanderers
(Home) 12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1 Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Wanderers
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0 Central Esp.
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0 Central Esp.
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0 Progreso
Page 1 of 3
Maldonado
(Away) 13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Maldonado
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1 Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Wanderers
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2 Maldonado
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0 Maldonado
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Maldonado
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2 Maldonado
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0 Maldonado
16 Aug
Progreso
0 : 2 Maldonado
18 Jul
Progreso
1 : 0 Maldonado
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
