Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wanderers vs Maldonado

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Tabo C.
45'
Freitas A.
45' Event
Zeballos J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Wanderers
33%
Draws
27%
Maldonado
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Maldonado have won more games recently than Wanderers.
  • Win probability leans Wanderers's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wanderers Maldonado
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Wanderers
1:3
Jul 27, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
1:0
Mar 11, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wanderers 50 / 100
Maldonado 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wanderers Maldonado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wanderers went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Wanderers's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Maldonado let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Wanderers VS Maldonado
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wanderers

(Home)
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0
Progreso
05 Jun
Wanderers
0 : 0
Danubio
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

Maldonado

(Away)
18 Jul
Progreso
1 : 0
Maldonado
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
06 Jun
Montevideo City
2 : 4
Maldonado
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0
Club Nacional
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol64119:313
2Cerro Largo63217:211
3CA Cerro63035:89
4Liverpool M.62225:58
5Central Esp.62224:48
6Racing Montevideo61413:37
7Boston River61235:95
8Defensor Sp.60334:83
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wanderers633010:412
2Montevideo City640211:912
3Maldonado632112:611
4Club Nacional63126:710
5Juventud62138:117
6Progreso62045:96
7Albion61234:65
8Danubio60333:73
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)