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Wanderers vs Maldonado

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Freitas G.
27'
Fuica N.
28'
Formiliano F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Wanderers and Maldonado finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Wanderers
22%
Draws
18%
Maldonado
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Maldonado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Wanderers's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wanderers Maldonado
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Wanderers
1:3
Jul 27, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
1:0
Mar 11, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Maldonado
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wanderers 68 / 100
Maldonado 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wanderers Maldonado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wanderers has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Wanderers scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Maldonado has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Wanderers VS Maldonado
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wanderers

(Home)
31 Jul
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Wanderers
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0
Progreso
05 Jun
Wanderers
0 : 0
Danubio
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
Page 1 of 7

Maldonado

(Away)
18 Jul
Progreso
1 : 0
Maldonado
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
06 Jun
Montevideo City
2 : 4
Maldonado
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0
Club Nacional
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)