Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wanderers vs Racing Montevideo

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Freitas G.
20'
Urretaviscaya J.
64'
Sub
Zeballos J. In: Luna J.
Out: Zeballos J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Wanderers and Racing Montevideo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Montevideo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wanderers
6%
Draws
4%
Racing Montevideo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Montevideo come out ahead of Wanderers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Wanderers a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wanderers Racing Montevideo
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Racing Montevideo
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Copa Sudamericana
Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers
1:0
Feb 3, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Racing Montevideo
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Racing Montevideo Compare

Top Goalscorer Habib T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sosa N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wanderers 95 / 100
Racing Montevideo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wanderers Racing Montevideo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wanderers went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Wanderers's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Racing Montevideo let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Wanderers VS Racing Montevideo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wanderers

(Home)
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0
Progreso
05 Jun
Wanderers
0 : 0
Danubio
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
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Racing Montevideo

(Away)
26 Jul
CA Cerro
1 : 0
Racing Montevideo
12 Jul
Racing Montevideo
1 : 1
Penarol
06 Jun
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Racing Montevideo
30 May
Racing Montevideo
0 : 0
Defensor Sp.
22 May
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)