Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Waregem vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Elindus Arena, Waregem
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Romsaas J.
Assist: Scheidler A.
63'
Sub
Scheidler A. In: Bojang A.
Out: Scheidler A.
63'
Sub
Mbemba F. In: Nawata G.
Out: Mbemba F.

AI Match Summary

Charleroi in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Waregem
15%
Draws
54%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Waregem have won more games recently than Charleroi.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Waregem taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Waregem Clean Sheet 15%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waregem Charleroi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Charleroi
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Charleroi
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Waregem
1:2
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Charleroi vs Waregem
2:0
Apr 8, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Waregem
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waregem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Romsaas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waregem 41 / 100
Charleroi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waregem Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waregem's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Charleroi conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Waregem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waregem VS Charleroi
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Waregem

(Home)
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
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Charleroi

(Away)
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)