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Waregem vs Genk

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Elindus Arena, Waregem
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waregem host Genk in the Jupiler Pro League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Genk have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Waregem have conceded 1 and scored 2.63. Head-to-head, Waregem have won 1 to Genk's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.44) point toward Genk. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Waregem
6%
Draws
4%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Waregem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Waregem have won more games recently than Genk.
  • Waregem are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Waregem Clean Sheet 16%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waregem Genk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Genk
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Waregem
3:2
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Genk vs Waregem
3:3
Jan 14, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Waregem
1:0
Aug 14, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Genk
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waregem 84 / 100
Genk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waregem Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waregem's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Waregem has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Genk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Waregem VS Genk
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waregem

(Home)
25 Jul
Waregem
3 : 2
Sparta Rotterdam
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1
AZ Alkmaar
11 Jul
Waregem
2 : 1
Kryvbas
08 Jul
Waregem
4 : 3
Rakow Czestochowa
04 Jul
Zelzate
1 : 2
Waregem
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
11 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
Genk
08 Jul
Genk
2 : 1
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antwerp00000:00
2Leuven00000:00
3Lommel SK00000:00
4Anderlecht00000:00
5Cercle Brugge00000:00
6Charleroi00000:00
7Club Brugge00000:00
8Genk00000:00
9Gent00000:00
10KV Mechelen00000:00
11St. Liege00000:00
12St. Truiden00000:00
13Waregem00000:00
14Westerlo00000:00
15Kortrijk00000:00
16Royale Union SG00000:00
17SK Beveren00000:00
18RAAL La Louviere00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)