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Waregem vs Gent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Elindus Arena, Waregem
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Cisse I.
62'
Sub
Cisse I. In: Dean M.
Out: Cisse I.
62'
Sub
Goore H. In: Volckaert M.
Out: Goore H.

AI Match Summary

Gent in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Waregem
15%
Draws
59%
Gent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Gent have won more games recently than Waregem.
  • Model gives Gent a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Waregem Clean Sheet 12%
Gent Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waregem Gent
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.9 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Gent
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Waregem
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Gent
4:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Gent vs Waregem
0:2
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Gent vs Waregem
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waregem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balikwisha M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waregem 14 / 100
Gent 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waregem Gent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Waregem found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Gent conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Waregem went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waregem VS Gent
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Waregem

(Home)
08 Nov
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Waregem
30 Oct
Waregem
2 : 4
Club Brugge
24 Oct
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Waregem
17 Oct
Waregem
3 : 0
RFC Seraing
10 Oct
Waregem
0 : 2
Gent
Page 1 of 6

Gent

(Away)
08 Nov
Gent
1 : 0
Kortrijk
05 Nov
KuPS
0 : 0
Gent
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
25 Oct
Gent
4 : 0
Anderlecht
22 Oct
Braga
2 : 0
Gent
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)