Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Waregem vs Gent

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Elindus Arena, Waregem
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waregem host Gent in the Jupiler Pro League. This one's hard to separate. Waregem have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Gent's 1.44 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Waregem have won 2 to Gent's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.13, favoring Waregem. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Waregem
30%
Draws
43%
Gent
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Waregem have won more games recently than Gent.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Waregem Clean Sheet 20%
Gent Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waregem Gent
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 13
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.03 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Waregem
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Gent
4:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Gent vs Waregem
0:2
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Gent vs Waregem
4:2
Mar 12, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Gent
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waregem 32 / 100
Gent 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waregem Gent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Waregem found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Gent conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Waregem went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waregem VS Gent
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Waregem

(Home)
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
15 Aug
Royale Union SG
0 : 0
Waregem
Page 1 of 6

Gent

(Away)
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
30 Aug
Gent
2 : 1
Club Brugge
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
2 Royale Union SG 6 5 1 0 19:3 16
3 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 12:3 15
4 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 SK Beveren 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Genk 6 2 3 1 13:9 9
10 St. Truiden 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
16 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
17 Leuven 6 0 1 5 3:13 1
18 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)