Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Waregem vs KFC Duffel

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2019/2020 Elindus Arena, Waregem
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Verlinden Y.
23'
Deschacht O.
30'
Sub
Amini N. In: Verheyden N.
Out: Amini N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Waregem advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Waregem
35%
Draws
28%
KFC Duffel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Waregem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Waregem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Waregem taking it.
  • Waregem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Waregem, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Waregem Clean Sheet 20%
KFC Duffel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waregem KFC Duffel
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 19 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.16 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2019 Belgian Cup
Waregem vs KFC Duffel
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Govea O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

KFC Duffel Compare

Top Goalscorer Verlinden Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waregem 67 / 100
KFC Duffel 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waregem KFC Duffel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waregem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Waregem scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

KFC Duffel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 19 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Waregem has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Waregem VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Waregem

(Home)
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
15 Aug
Royale Union SG
0 : 0
Waregem
Page 1 of 7

KFC Duffel

(Away)
19 Jan
KFC Duffel
1 : 2
Aalst
11 Jan
ASV Geel
1 : 1
KFC Duffel
04 Jan
Hasselt
1 : 1
KFC Duffel
22 Dec
KFC Duffel
4 : 3
ASV Geel
15 Dec
KFC Duffel
1 : 1
Cappellen
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Royal Excel Mouscron 1
Dessel 0
Beerschot VA 2
Anderlecht 3
Oostende 2
Mandel United 0
Francs Borains 0
Club Brugge 3
Waregem 4
KFC Duffel 2
Leuven 0
St. Truiden 2
Charleroi 3
Boom 2
Aalst 0
Gent 4
St. Liege 2
Lommel SK 1
Cercle Brugge 0
Rebecquoise 1
Antwerp 4
Lokeren 2
Ronse 0
Genk 3
Royale Union SG 3
Verlaine 0
SK Beveren 3
Westerlo 4
Kortrijk 3
RFC Seraing 1
Cappellen 0
Eupen 1
1/8-finals
Royal Excel Mouscron 2
Anderlecht 3
Oostende 1
Club Brugge 2
Waregem 3
St. Truiden 0
Charleroi 1
Gent 0
St. Liege 3
Rebecquoise 0
Antwerp 4
Genk 3
Royale Union SG 1
Westerlo 0
Kortrijk 2
Eupen 1
Quarter-finals
Anderlecht 0
Club Brugge 2
Waregem 2
Charleroi 0
St. Liege 1
Antwerp 3
Royale Union SG 0
Kortrijk 1
Semi-finals
Club Brugge 3
Waregem 2
Antwerp 2
Kortrijk 1
Final
Club Brugge 0
Antwerp 1