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Stadium Background

Waren vs Lichtenberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2014/2015 game between Waren and Lichtenberg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Waren
20%
Draws
51%
Lichtenberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lichtenberg come out ahead of Waren on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lichtenberg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lichtenberg have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Waren Clean Sheet 14%
Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waren Lichtenberg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.23 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2015 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs Waren
2:1
Nov 29, 2014 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Waren vs Lichtenberg
2:1
May 15, 2013 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs Waren
3:1
Sep 15, 2012 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Waren vs Lichtenberg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waren 27 / 100
Lichtenberg 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waren Lichtenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lichtenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Waren scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Lichtenberg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Waren has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lichtenberg
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Waren

(Home)
29 Jun
Waren
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
14 Jun
Waren
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock II
07 Jun
Lichtenberg
2 : 1
Waren
23 May
Waren
4 : 0
Brandenburger
15 May
Malchower
1 : 1
Waren
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Lichtenberg

(Away)
30 Aug
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
Hertha Zehlendorf
16 Aug
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Lichtenberg
08 Aug
Lichtenberg
3 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
18 Jul
Lichtenberg
1 : 1
Dresden II
12 Jul
Rsv Eintracht
3 : 1
Lichtenberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rathenow 30 20 6 4 65:38 66
2 Schonberg 30 18 9 3 73:23 63
3 Luckenwalde 30 18 7 5 65:32 61
4 Lichtenberg 30 16 4 10 69:49 52
5 Malchower 30 12 13 5 50:45 49
6 Altludersdorf 30 13 9 8 54:36 48
7 Hansa Rostock II 30 13 8 9 48:36 47
8 Furstenwalde 30 13 5 12 41:45 44
9 Hertha Zehlendorf 30 13 4 13 58:43 43
10 Neubrandenburg 30 10 7 13 44:60 37
11 Waren 30 10 7 13 37:57 37
12 Schoneiche 30 9 7 14 31:52 34
13 Brandenburger 30 9 5 16 46:59 32
14 Strausberg 30 7 5 18 40:58 26
15 Greifswalder FC 30 6 3 21 24:53 21
16 Hurturkel 30 2 3 25 31:90 9
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Play Offs 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)