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Warrenpoint vs Lisburn Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2023/2024 Milltown, Warrenpoint
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-1, with Warrenpoint advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Warrenpoint
15%
Draws
39%
Lisburn Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lisburn Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Warrenpoint a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Lisburn Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Warrenpoint, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 20%
Lisburn Rangers Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrenpoint Lisburn Rangers
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 0
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.42 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Irish Cup
Warrenpoint vs Lisburn Rangers
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrenpoint 85 / 100
Lisburn Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrenpoint Lisburn Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisburn Rangers let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Warrenpoint stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lisburn Rangers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warrenpoint VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrenpoint

(Home)
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 7

Lisburn Rangers

(Away)
10 Jan
Limavady
4 : 1
Lisburn Rangers
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
27 Jul
Lisburn Rangers
4 : 1
Ballymena
25 Nov
Warrenpoint
6 : 1
Lisburn Rangers
02 Nov
Rathfriland Rangers
3 : 0
Lisburn Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Valley Rangers 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Ballymacash 3
Drumaness 1
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 0
Strabane Athletic 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
Willowbank 3
Tobermore 2
Crumlin Star 2
Limavady 0
TBD -
Institute -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Linfield -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 6
Lisburn Rangers 1
Queens University 3
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Ballymena -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
TBD -
Rosemount Rec 3
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
1/16-finals
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Ballymacash 3
Glentoran 1
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 5
Willowbank 0
Crumlin Star 0
Institute 2
Crusaders 1
Ards 2
Linfield 4
Warrenpoint 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 3
Dergview 1
Coleraine 0
Cliftonville 3
Loughgall 3
Rosemount Rec 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 4
Knockbreda 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Dundela 1
Newry City 3
Ballinamallard 2
1/8-finals
Ballymacash 1
Glentoran 6
Ballyclare 3
Dungannon 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Linfield 2
Ballymena 0
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 0
Larne 5
Glenavon 0
Newington FC 2
Newry City 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Institute 1
Linfield 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Larne 4
Newington FC 1
Semi-finals
Glentoran 1
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 2
Larne 0
Final
Linfield 1
Cliftonville 3