Sport Picks
Warrenpoint vs Newington FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Northern Ireland
NIFL Championship Milltown, Warrenpoint 
AI Match Summary
The NIFL Championship game between Warrenpoint and Newington FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newington FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warrenpoint
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Warrenpoint haven't matched Newington FC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Warrenpoint's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Newington FC have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 10%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warrenpoint | Newington FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Newington FC
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Newington FC
2:4
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Warrenpoint
4:0
Sep 27, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Warrenpoint
3:0
Jan 28, 2023 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Newington FC
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warrenpoint 83 / 100
Newington FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warrenpoint Newington FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Newington FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Warrenpoint went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Newington FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Warrenpoint VS Newington FC
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Warrenpoint
(Home) 03 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 1 Annagh
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2 Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0 Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2 Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Newington FC
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03 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 1 Annagh
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2 Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Newington FC
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3 Ards
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0 Armagh
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Newington FC
(Away) 09 Oct
Newington FC
0 : 2 Ards
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0 Newington FC
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0 Newington FC
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5 Dundela
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03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0 Newington FC
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0 Newington FC
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1 Newington FC
28 Aug
Strabane Athletic
1 : 2 Newington FC
11 Aug
Loughgall
2 : 2 Newington FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 25:14 | 22 |
| 2 | Glenavon | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 3 | Newington FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:20 | 20 |
| 4 | Queens University | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Newry City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 18 |
| 6 | Warrenpoint | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Institute | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Ballinamallard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Harland & Wolff | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Ards | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Moyola | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Loughgall | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:21 | 13 |
| 13 | Dundela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19:23 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland Rangers | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Armagh | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)
