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Warrington Rylands vs Stockton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Wood H.
45'
Costello C.
45' Event
Nouble F.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Warrington Rylands and Stockton finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Warrington Rylands
20%
Draws
33%
Stockton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warrington Rylands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warrington Rylands come out ahead of Stockton on wins alone.
  • Model gives Warrington Rylands a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 16%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrington Rylands Stockton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.54 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy
Warrington Rylands vs Stockton
3:1
Sep 12, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Stockton
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Stockton
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Warrington Rylands
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Warrington Rylands
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warrington Rylands Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Stockton Compare

Top Goalscorer Nouble F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrington Rylands 84 / 100
Stockton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrington Rylands Stockton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrington Rylands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockton has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Warrington Rylands scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Warrington Rylands has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warrington Rylands VS Stockton
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrington Rylands

(Home)
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
03 Oct
Warrington Rylands
4 : 1
AFC Emley
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Stockton
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
Page 1 of 6

Stockton

(Away)
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0
Bury FC
03 Oct
Hyde
2 : 1
Stockton
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Stockton
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
2 Redcar Athletic 13 8 4 1 28:11 28
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 11 8 1 2 33:20 25
5 Curzon Ashton 11 7 1 3 23:11 22
6 Workington 13 6 3 4 23:22 21
7 Warrington Rylands 13 6 2 5 20:20 20
8 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
9 Gainsborough 11 6 1 4 22:15 19
10 Warrington Town 11 5 4 2 22:18 19
11 Alfreton 13 6 0 7 20:16 18
12 Lancaster 13 5 2 6 18:26 17
13 Hyde 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
14 Ashton United 11 3 4 4 14:13 13
15 Quorn 12 3 4 5 21:27 13
16 Whitby 12 4 1 7 17:32 13
17 Stockton 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 12 2 4 6 11:24 10
20 Bamber Bridge 12 2 4 6 16:31 10
21 Ilkeston 13 2 1 10 7:31 7
22 United of Manchester 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
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