Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warrington Rylands vs Workington

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wood H.
33' Event
Hardcastle B.
45' Event
Munro C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Warrington Rylands and Workington finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrington Rylands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Warrington Rylands
15%
Draws
46%
Workington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Warrington Rylands carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Warrington Rylands are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 10%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrington Rylands Workington
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
3:2
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Workington
3:0
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Workington
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warrington Rylands Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hardcastle B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Workington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrington Rylands 34 / 100
Workington 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrington Rylands Workington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Warrington Rylands scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Workington let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Warrington Rylands has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warrington Rylands VS Workington
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrington Rylands

(Home)
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Hyde
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Bamber Bridge
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2
Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6

Workington

(Away)
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1
Workington
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0
Marske United
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3
Workington
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)