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Warrington Rylands vs Workington

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wood H.
33' Event
Hardcastle B.
45' Event
Munro C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Warrington Rylands and Workington finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrington Rylands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Warrington Rylands
39%
Draws
30%
Workington
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Warrington Rylands carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 20%
Workington Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrington Rylands Workington
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Workington
3:0
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Workington
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Rylands
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warrington Rylands Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hardcastle B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Workington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrington Rylands 32 / 100
Workington 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrington Rylands Workington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Warrington Rylands scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Workington let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Workington registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warrington Rylands VS Workington
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrington Rylands

(Home)
18 Jul
Trafford
2 : 0
Warrington Rylands
04 Jul
Hebburn Town
5 : 0
Warrington Rylands
04 May
Hednesford
2 : 1
Warrington Rylands
28 Apr
United of Manchester
2 : 3
Warrington Rylands
25 Apr
Warrington Rylands
1 : 2
Stockton
Page 1 of 7

Workington

(Away)
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Workington
25 Apr
Workington
0 : 1
Leek Town
18 Apr
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Workington
11 Apr
Ashton United
2 : 1
Workington
06 Apr
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hebburn Town402310775:4179
2Hednesford402211762:3577
3United of Manchester402191065:4172
4Warrington Rylands401813959:4267
5Stockton4018121062:5063
6Lancaster4017111256:4562
7Gainsborough4016111350:4559
8Leek Town401771650:5258
9Cleethorpes4014131356:4755
10Ashton United4014111547:5453
11Ilkeston401571852:5452
12Bamber Bridge401481852:5250
13Guiseley401391846:5648
14Warrington Town4012121643:6348
15Hyde4011141558:6347
16Rushall4012111748:6147
17Whitby4010131743:5543
18Workington4010131743:5843
19Prescot Cables409151640:5042
20Morpeth401262238:5442
21Stocksbridge408122038:6536
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)