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Warrington Town vs AFC Emley

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Haswell A.
31' Event
Bange E.
74' Event
Bange E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Warrington Town
15%
Draws
0%
AFC Emley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrington Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warrington Town lately — more wins on the board than AFC Emley.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Warrington Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Emley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrington Town AFC Emley
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.52 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs AFC Emley
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warrington Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Bange E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

AFC Emley Compare

Top Goalscorer Haswell A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sorhaindo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrington Town 85 / 100
AFC Emley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrington Town AFC Emley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrington Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Emley has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

AFC Emley lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Warrington Town scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warrington Town VS AFC Emley
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrington Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0
Warrington Town
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
19 Sept
Warrington Town
3 : 0
South Liverpool
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1
Warrington Town
08 Sept
Warrington Town
4 : 0
Shildon
Page 1 of 6

AFC Emley

(Away)
03 Oct
Warrington Rylands
4 : 1
AFC Emley
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3
Workington
26 Sept
Bootle
5 : 0
AFC Emley
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
3 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
4 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 11 5 1 5 13:19 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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