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Warrington Town vs Lancaster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warrington Town host Lancaster in the NPL Premier Division. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Warrington Town at 1.54 goals for, 1.64 against; Lancaster at 1.46 for, 1.61 against. Past meetings favor Warrington Town slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Warrington Town. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Warrington Town
15%
Draws
51%
Lancaster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lancaster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Warrington Town haven't matched Lancaster's recent run of results.
  • Warrington Town are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Warrington Town have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 17%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrington Town Lancaster
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Warrington Town
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Lancaster
3:2
Feb 7, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Lancaster
2:0
Oct 18, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Warrington Town
0:1
Dec 4, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Lancaster
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrington Town 57 / 100
Lancaster 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrington Town Lancaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrington Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Warrington Town scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Lancaster has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Lancaster registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warrington Town VS Lancaster
2 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrington Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Workington
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0
Warrington Town
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
19 Sept
Warrington Town
3 : 0
South Liverpool
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1
Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6

Lancaster

(Away)
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3
Lancaster
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1
Ilkeston
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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