Sport Picks
Warrington Town vs Workington
England
NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Morris E.
39'
39'
Daly R.
55'
55'
Allan J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Warrington Town and Workington finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Workington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Workington carry the better recent record into this one.
- Workington are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 10%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warrington Town | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Workington
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Town
1:1
Feb 26, 2019 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Town
0:2
Sep 4, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Workington
2:0
Mar 27, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Workington
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Morris E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daly R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Allan J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Palmer J. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warrington Town 18 / 100
Workington 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warrington Town Workington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Workington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warrington Town scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Workington conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Warrington Town went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Warrington Town VS Workington
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Warrington Town
(Home) 12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
08 Sept
Warrington Town
4 : 0 Shildon
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
29 Aug
Warrington Town
2 : 2 AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Warrington Town
4 : 0 Shildon
29 Aug
Warrington Town
2 : 2 AFC Emley
25 Aug
Warrington Town
0 : 4 Curzon Ashton
15 Aug
Warrington Town
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
11 Aug
Warrington Town
3 : 0 Hyde
Page 1 of 4
Workington
(Away) 12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Leek Town
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Workington
19 Aug
Avro
4 : 1 Workington
08 Aug
Gainsborough
2 : 0 Workington
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Workington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
