Sport Picks
Warrington Town vs Workington
England
NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Morris E.
39'
39'
Daly R.
55'
55'
Allan J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Warrington Town and Workington finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Workington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Workington carry the better recent record into this one.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 15%
Workington Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warrington Town | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Workington
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Town
1:1
Feb 26, 2019 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Town
0:2
Sep 4, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Workington
2:0
Mar 27, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Workington
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Morris E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daly R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Allan J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Palmer J. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warrington Town 35 / 100
Workington 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warrington Town Workington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warrington Town scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Workington conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Workington lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Warrington Town VS Workington
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Warrington Town
(Home) 21 Jul
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Macclesfield
18 Jul
Warrington Town
0 : 2 Chester
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0 Warrington Town
18 Apr
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Workington
06 Apr
Warrington Town
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 7
21 Jul
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Macclesfield
18 Jul
Warrington Town
0 : 2 Chester
18 Apr
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Workington
06 Apr
Warrington Town
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
28 Mar
Warrington Town
0 : 2 Whitby
Page 1 of 4
Workington
(Away) 11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Workington
25 Apr
Workington
0 : 1 Leek Town
18 Apr
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Workington
11 Apr
Ashton United
2 : 1 Workington
06 Apr
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Workington
18 Apr
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Workington
11 Apr
Ashton United
2 : 1 Workington
04 Apr
Warrington Rylands
3 : 0 Workington
21 Mar
Hyde
0 : 1 Workington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)