Sport Picks
Warrington Town vs Workington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
12'
12'
Carroll B.
43'
43'
Edwards C.
45'
45'
Bange E.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Warrington Town and Workington finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Workington carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 10%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Warrington Town | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Workington
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Workington
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Town
1:1
Feb 26, 2019 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Warrington Town
0:2
Sep 4, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Workington
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Edwards C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bange E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Carroll B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dickenson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Warrington Town 30 / 100
Workington 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Warrington Town Workington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Workington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warrington Town scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Workington let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Warrington Town stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Warrington Town VS Workington
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Warrington Town
(Home) 06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0 Warrington Town
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Warrington Town
3 : 0 South Liverpool
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Warrington Town
3 : 0 South Liverpool
08 Sept
Warrington Town
4 : 0 Shildon
29 Aug
Warrington Town
2 : 2 AFC Emley
Page 1 of 4
Workington
(Away) 06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1 Workington
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1 Workington
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Workington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33:19 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
